本书介绍了利用北半球大气状态信息，考虑长达两年的前置预测因子对阿穆尔河水文状况进行长期预报的分析结果。研究表明，在长期预报中，即便考虑了最完整的大气状态信息，也不一定总能获得稳定的正效果。文中阐述了太阳能在大气热透射、气溶胶组成、下垫面湿度以及其他因素（包括人为因素）的实现条件在地球物理过程中所起的重要作用，这些因素可能影响长期预报的准确率。探讨了进一步研究的前景。分析了导致1981年8月阿穆尔河流域洪水的气象条件。\n本书面向地理学家和水文气象预报领域的专业人员。\n
", "ds_source": "作者（编委会）：В.Н. 格卢博科夫, А.А. 卡连多夫（В.Н. Глубоков, А.А. Календов）\n出版社：Гидрометеоиздат\n出版地：列宁格勒\n出版年：1985年\n页数：104页 \n语种：俄文\n馆藏条形码：XJLAS RU 70025977\n分类号：УДК 551.513:556.06 (282.252.1)\n
", "ds_process_way": "本书为中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所文献信息中心（以下简称中心）馆藏文献，中心将本书电子化后存储，已经过OCR识别，数据加工过程依据国家标准《GB/T 31219.2-2014图书馆馆藏资源数字化加工规范》，完全遵照《基于航空气象资料的阿穆尔河流域长期水文预报问题》的数据信息，未改动删减。\n
", "ds_quality": "对收集到的《基于航空气象资料的阿穆尔河流域长期水文预报问题》进行电子化加工处理，按照国家标准《GB/T 31219.2-2014图书馆馆藏资源数字化加工规范》要求，未改动删减《基于航空气象资料的阿穆尔河流域长期水文预报问题》的数据信息，数据质量可靠。\n
", "ds_acq_start_time": "2025-10-30 00:00:00", "ds_acq_end_time": "2025-10-30 00:00:00", "ds_acq_place": "苏联", "ds_acq_lon_east": null, "ds_acq_lat_south": null, "ds_acq_lon_west": null, "ds_acq_lat_north": null, "ds_acq_alt_low": null, "ds_acq_alt_high": null, "ds_share_type": "apply-access", "ds_total_size": 44361319, "ds_files_count": 1, "ds_format": "PDF格式", "ds_space_res": "无", "ds_time_res": "无", "ds_coordinate": "无", "ds_projection": "无", "ds_thumbnail": "21de830d-72a9-4fac-8865-a529af95a6f5.jpg", "ds_thumb_from": 0, "ds_ref_way": "", "paper_ref_way": "", "ds_ref_instruction": "", "ds_from_station": null, "organization_id": "a5877b42-96ea-4f13-af7e-246f355413d6", "doi_value": "", "subject_codes": [ "170.15", "170.55" ], "quality_level": 1, "publish_time": "2026-09-17 18:07:42", "first_publish_time": null, "last_updated": "2026-09-17 18:07:42", "protected": false, "protected_to": null, "lang": "zh", "cstr": "33110.11.ariddc.01941", "license": null, "extra": null, "files_shape": [ { "name": "20251030002(XJLASRU70025977)公式不OCR.pdf", "size": 44361319, "is_dir": false } ], "features": null, "data_level": 0, "i18n": { "en": { "title": "", "ds_abstract": "This book introduces the analysis results of long-term forecast of the hydrological conditions of the Amur River using atmospheric state information in the Northern Hemisphere and taking into account two-year pre-prediction factors. Studies have shown that in long-term forecasts, even if the most complete atmospheric state information is considered, stable positive effects may not always be obtained. The paper describes the important role played by solar energy in atmospheric heat transmission, aerosol composition, underlying surface humidity and other factors (including anthropogenic factors) in geophysical processes, which may affect the accuracy of long-term forecasts. The prospects for further research are discussed. The meteorological conditions that led to the August 1981 floods in the Amur River Basin were analyzed.\r\nThis book is aimed at geographers and professionals in the field of hydrometeorological forecasting.\r\n
", "ds_source": "Author (Editorial Board): Expand.Н. Glubokov, А.А. Kalendorf (ˇ.Н.Глубоков, А.А.Календов）\r\nPublished by: 丨 и дроме т е о издат\r\nPlace of publication: Leningrad\r\nPublication year: 1985\r\nPages: 104 pages \r\nLanguage: Russian\r\nCollection barcode: XJLAS RU 70025977\r\nClassification No.: У п К 551.513:556.06 (282.252.1)\r\n
", "ds_process_way": "This book is the collection of the Documentation and Information Center of the Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, China Academy of Sciences (hereinafter referred to as the Center). The center has stored the book electronically and has been recognized by OCR. The data processing process is in accordance with the national standard \"GB/T 31219.2-2014 Specifications for Digital Processing of Library Collection Resources\", and fully complies with the data information of \"Long-term Hydrological Forecasting Problems in the Amur River Basin Based on Aviation Meteorological Data\" without modification or deletion.\r\n
", "ds_quality": "The collected \"Long-term Hydrological Forecasting Problems in the Amur River Basin Based on Aeronautical Meteorological Data\" was electronically processed and processed. In accordance with the requirements of the national standard \"GB/T 31219.2-2014 Specifications for Digital Processing of Library Collection Resources\", the data information of \"Long-term Hydrological Forecasting Problems in the Amur River Basin Based on Aeronautical Meteorological Data\" was not changed and deleted. The data quality was reliable.\r\n
", "ds_acq_place": "Soviet Union", "ds_ref_instruction": "", "ds_ref_way": "", "ds_format": "PDF format", "ds_projection": "no", "ds_space_res": "", "ds_time_res": "" } }, "license_type": null, "doi_reg_from": "reg_local", "cstr_reg_from": "reg_local", "doi_not_reg_reason": null, "cstr_not_reg_reason": null, "is_paper_in_submitting": false, "ds_topic_tags": [ "大气热透射", "气溶胶", "气象预报", "水文", "洪水", "大气" ], "ds_subject_tags": [ "大气科学", "水文学" ], "ds_class_tags": [], "ds_locus_tags": [ "苏联" ], "ds_time_tags": [ 1985 ], "ds_contributors": [ "文献信息中心" ], "ds_meta_authors": [ "文献信息中心" ], "ds_managers": [ "文献信息中心" ], "category": "图书" }